5
Woodstream Lad
9yo Gelding · 11-12 · OR 99
Killarney · O'Donoghue Ring Collection Beginners Chase · 2m 4f 180y
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Listowel | BHA102 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Galway | BHA105 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Clonmel | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Punchestown | BHA114 | 0 | ||
| 2025-08-25 | Downpatrick | BHA102 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 2-5 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength32%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 36% | +0.21 |
| 03/07/2025 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/07/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 25/07/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |
| 06/08/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 60% | -0.32 |
| 14/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 56% | -0.26 |
| 27/07/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 25/09/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |