14
Backinabit
7yo Gelding · 10-4 · OR 76
Killarney · Quills Menswear Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 7f 100y
#13
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 8.6)
Highest class: BHA72
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Navan | BHA77 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Bellewstown | BHA77 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Sligo | BHA78 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Wexford | BHA78 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | BHA72 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Sligo | BHA75 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 4-13 · tight 57/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 13th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2024 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 17/03/2024 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 54% | +0.12 |
| 29/09/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 07/12/2025 | 13th | 10/1 | 47% | 48% | +0.00 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 23/07/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 36% | -0.45 |
| 06/08/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 47% | +0.05 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 19/09/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 60% | +0.23 |