5
Barryroe Madam
7yo Mare · 11-0 · OR 86
Killarney · Quills Menswear Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 7f 100y
#12
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Listowel | BHA87 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Galway | BHA88 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Ballinrobe | BHA90 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Wexford | BHA90 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Limerick | BHA93 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Cork | BHA95 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 47/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength60%
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 87% | +0.26 |
| 23/11/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 16/04/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 8% | -0.08 |
| 10/05/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 28/05/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 75% | +0.07 |
| 24/08/2026 | 14th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 26/09/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |