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6

Cullenwaine

8yo Gelding · 11-0 · OR 86

Killarney · Quills Menswear Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 7f 100y

#6

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well supported when snapping long losing run over C&D in July. Unlucky to bump into a progressive one at this track subsequently and can have latest run in soft-ground handicap at Wexford (25f, soft) overlooked. Expected to give a good account here.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA75 @ Tramore 01/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 75 · 2m6f170y Sft 151 · below its mark01/01/2026 · OR 75 par1/0175OR 75BHA75 @ Thurles 19/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR 75 · 2m5f132y Sft 150 · below its mark19/02/2026 · OR 75 parBHA74 @ Tramore 20/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 74 · 2m5f160y Goo 142 · below its mark20/04/2026 · OR 74 par20/0474OR 74BHA74 @ Limerick 21/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 74 · 2m6f160y Gd 142 · below its mark21/05/2026 · OR 74 parBHA76 @ Tramore 30/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 76 · 2m6f Goo 148 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 76 par30/0576OR 76BHA75 @ Limerick 02/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 75 · 2m4f Gd 140 · below its mark02/07/2026 · OR 75 parBHA75 @ Killarney 17/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 75 · 2m7f Goo 143 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 75 par17/0775OR 75BHA84 @ Killarney 20/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 84 · 2m7f100y Goo 152 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 84 parBHA86 @ Wexford 28/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 86 · 3m1f Yie 155 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 86 par28/0886OR 86projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28WexfordBHA867th7th0
2026-08-20KillarneyBHA842nd2nd0
2026-07-17KillarneyBHA751st1st0
2026-07-02LimerickBHA754th4th0
2026-05-30TramoreBHA765th5th0
2026-05-21LimerickBHA742nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0121/0517/0728/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 47/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength66%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/01/20265th28/10%69%+0.69
19/02/202610th8/158%40%-0.18
20/04/20262nd10/147%91%+0.44
21/05/20262nd11/271%91%+0.20
30/05/20265th5/287%56%-0.31
02/07/20264th16/116%77%+0.61
17/07/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
20/08/20262nd11/271%91%+0.20
28/08/20267th9/276%50%-0.26