10

It's Time Again

10yo Mare · 10-13 · OR 85

Killarney · Quills Menswear Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 7f 100y

#4

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

9%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

From a staying chasing family. Season has been something of write-off since crashing out (might have won) at the last at Clonmel (2¾m) in June. Hard to be confident on belated chasing debut, even with Jordan Gainford taking over.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA92 @ Ballinrobe 28/05/2024 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 92 · 2m6f74y Goo 165 · below its mark28/05/2024 · OR 92 par28/0592OR 92BHA91 @ Kilbeggan 06/09/2024 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR 91 · 3m100y Yie 165 · below its mark06/09/2024 · OR 91 parBHA88 @ Limerick 19/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR 88 · 2m5f Goo 163 · below its mark19/10/2024 · OR 88 par19/1088OR 88BHA90 @ Gowran Park 09/11/2024 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 90 · 2m3f180y Yie 163 · below its mark09/11/2024 · OR 90 parBHA90 @ Ballinrobe 11/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 90 · 2m5f110y Gd 158 · beat its mark11/04/2025 · OR 90 par11/0490OR 90BHA93 @ Kilbeggan 24/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 93 · 3m154y Goo 161 · below its mark24/04/2026 · OR 93 parBHA92 @ Punchestown 13/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 18 · OR 92 · 3m Goo 160 · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 92 par13/0592OR 92BHA92 @ Ballinrobe 21/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 92 · 2m6f41y Gd 161 · below its mark21/07/2026 · OR 92 parBHA90 @ Ballinrobe 10/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 90 · 2m6f113y Goo 160 · below its mark10/08/2026 · OR 90 par10/0890OR 90projClass-projected finish: 8th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24BallinrobeBHA870
2026-08-10BallinrobeBHA909th9th0
2026-07-21BallinrobeBHA928th8th0
2026-06-05ClonmelBHA900
2026-05-26BallinrobeBHA900
2026-05-13PunchestownBHA9213th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/059/1113/0510/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 2-15 · tight 33/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength43%

Delivery trend -2.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/05/20246th4/179%67%-0.12
06/09/20245th20/10%71%+0.71
19/10/20242nd33/10%94%+0.94
09/11/20243rd10/147%86%+0.38
11/04/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
24/04/20266th40/10%67%+0.67
13/05/202613th25/10%29%+0.29
21/07/20268th13/266%50%-0.16
10/08/20269th25/10%47%+0.47