1
Keep Em Quite
5yo Gelding · 12-0 · OR 100
Killarney · Quills Menswear Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 7f 100y
#9
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C9.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Kilbeggan | BHA102 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Sligo | BHA103 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Ballinrobe | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Wexford | BHA102 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Clonmel | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Down Royal | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 9-15 · tight 68/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -13.1% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 17/03/2026 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/04/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 64% | +0.03 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 10/08/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 92% | +0.02 |
| 19/08/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 70% | +0.23 |
| 04/09/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |