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12

True Harmony

6yo Gelding · 10-10 · OR 82

Killarney · Quills Menswear Handicap Chase (0-100) · 2m 7f 100y

#14

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Winning pointer whose best effort over hurdles came when runner-up in 3m Wexford handicap in May. Shaped as if in need of the experience on chasing debut at the same track latest (needed early reminders). Still early days but will need to be a lot sharper second time up.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength17%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 25/01/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 2m2f150y Hvy 16625/01C8C8 @ Clonmel 26/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 2m3f64y Hvy 158C8 @ Wexford 17/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 2m Sft 16617/03C8C8 @ Downpatrick 29/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 2m5f185y Yie 158BHA81 @ Punchestown 13/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR 81 · 3m Goo 151 · below its mark13/05/2026 · OR 81 par13/0581OR 81BHA80 @ Wexford 27/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 80 · 3m Goo 148 · below its mark27/05/2026 · OR 80 parBHA83 @ Downpatrick 13/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 83 · 2m5f180y Gd 155 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 83 par13/0683OR 83BHA83 @ Wexford 23/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 83 · 3m Gd 151 · below its mark23/07/2026 · OR 83 parBHA82 @ Wexford 28/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR 82 · 3m1f Yie 151 · below its mark28/08/2026 · OR 82 par28/0882OR 82projClass-projected finish: 5th of 15
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28WexfordBHA825th5th0
2026-07-23WexfordBHA836th6th0
2026-06-13DownpatrickBHA836th6th0
2026-05-27WexfordBHA802nd2nd0
2026-05-13PunchestownBHA819th9th0
2026-03-29Downpatrick?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0129/0313/0628/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength73%

Delivery trend -3.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/01/202613th50/10%20%+0.20
26/02/20268th250/10%53%+0.53
17/03/202612th18/15%15%+0.10
29/03/20268th150/10%42%+0.42
13/05/20269th9/153%53%+0.00
27/05/20262nd12/137%92%+0.55
13/06/20266th2/189%58%-0.31
23/07/20266th11/271%58%-0.13
28/08/20265th12/137%67%+0.30