1
Prince Khozan
9yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 1 · OR 92
Laurel Park · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-25 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Penn National | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 5-8 · tight 72/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength16%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 28/02/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/03/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 31/05/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 22/07/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 25/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 15/09/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |