2

Blessed Candy

4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 78

Laurel Park · Race 10 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Laurel Park 01/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 69 · 6f Fas 119 · below its mark01/06/2025 · OR 69 par1/06C8OR 69C7 @ Laurel Park 14/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 72 · 5f110y Fm 119 · below its mark14/06/2025 · OR 72 parC7 @ Delaware Park 08/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 73 · 6f 118 · below its mark08/08/2025 · OR 73 par8/08C7OR 73C8 @ Colonial Downs 22/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 78 · 1m Fas 118 · below its mark22/08/2025 · OR 78 parC8 @ Laurel Park 09/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 65 · 5f110y Fas 123 · below its mark09/05/2026 · OR 65 par9/05C8OR 65C7 @ Laurel Park 30/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 65 · 6f Gd 123 · below its mark30/05/2026 · OR 65 parC7 @ Laurel Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 68 · 6f Fas 123 · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 68 par12/06C7OR 68C7 @ Delaware Park 25/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 79 · 6f 125 · below its mark25/06/2026 · OR 79 parC7 @ Delaware Park 06/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 74 · 5f110y 125 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 74 par6/08C7OR 74projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06Delaware Park?6th6th0
2026-06-25Delaware Park?2nd2nd0
2026-06-12Laurel Park?1st1st0
2026-05-30Laurel Park?5th5th0
2026-05-09Laurel Park?2nd3rd−1
2025-08-22Colonial Downs?6th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0622/0812/066/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength65%

Delivery trend +2.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/06/20254th10/147%40%-0.07
14/06/20256th16/116%29%+0.13
08/08/20254th10/147%40%-0.07
22/08/20256th6/594%17%-0.77
09/05/20262nd5/287%80%-0.07
30/05/20265th12/137%50%+0.13
12/06/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
25/06/20262nd5/174%80%+0.06
06/08/20266th16/116%17%+0.01