Never So Lucky
6yo Mare · 8-7 · Draw 8 · OR 77
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#10
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-09-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-09-01 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-08-05 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 06/02/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 20/02/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 09/04/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/08/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/09/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 16/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 27/09/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |