Preparefortakeoff
7yo Mare · 8-11 · Draw 3 · OR 89
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-11-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/09/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 14/11/2025 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 13% | -0.61 |
| 29/11/2025 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/05/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 16/05/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 31/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 29% | -0.08 |
| 13/06/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |
| 18/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |