Sugar Bee
5yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 5 · OR 91
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
28%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2026-06-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-10-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 31/07/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 30/08/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 27/09/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |
| 10/10/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 08/05/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 17% | -0.71 |
| 10/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 04/07/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 18/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |