9
Wonder Girl
6yo Mare · 9-0 · Draw 10 · OR 85
Laurel Park · Race 10 - Starter Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
6/5
Win Prob
84%
Place Prob
65%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-16 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-2 · tight 86/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 89% | -0.02 |
| 16/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 89% | -0.04 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 08/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 75% | -0.12 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 88% | -0.03 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 06/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 19/09/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |