4
Cuddy's Lucky
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 4 · OR 70
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Monmouth Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-21 | Monmouth Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 5-6 · tight 77/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 60% | -0.29 |
| 31/05/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 40% | -0.53 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 06/09/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |