5

Love Yourself

3yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 84

Laurel Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

#1

Rank

Odds

6/5

Win Prob

20%

Place Prob

26%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▼1
Strength48%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 2.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Laurel Park 22/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f110y 12422/02C9C9 @ Laurel Park 12/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 85 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 85 par12/04C9OR 85C6 @ Laurel Park 16/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 87 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 87 par16/05C6OR 87C6 @ Delaware Park 28/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 89 · 1m70y 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/05/2026 · OR 89 par28/05C6OR 89C9 @ Laurel Park 13/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 85 · 6f Gd 122 · below its mark13/09/2026 · OR 85 par13/09C9OR 85projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Laurel Park?2nd2nd0
2026-05-28Delaware Park?3rd0th+3
2026-05-16Laurel Park?2nd-1th+3
2026-04-12Laurel Park?2nd2nd0
2026-02-22Laurel Park?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0212/0416/0528/0513/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 60/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength71%

Delivery trend -12.6% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/02/20262nd10/147%86%+0.38
12/04/20262nd9/276%91%+0.15
16/05/20262nd12/137%89%+0.52
28/05/20263rd9/488%67%-0.21
13/09/20262nd6/492%86%-0.06