
Love Yourself
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 84
Laurel Park · Race 2 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
6/5
Win Prob
20%
Place Prob
26%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 2 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.2 /10 (raw 2.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-04-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -12.6% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 12/04/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 91% | +0.15 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 13/09/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 86% | -0.06 |