5
Biscuitwiththeboss
4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 5 · OR 87
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/5
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Fair Grounds | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-01-09 | Fair Grounds | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-12-11 | Fair Grounds | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength75%
Delivery trend -1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 14/09/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 26/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 11/12/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 09/01/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 07/03/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.40 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 60% | -0.28 |
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 29/08/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |