8
Lady Ensign
6yo Mare · 9-0 · Draw 8 · OR 89
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
56%
Place Prob
43%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-20 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 78/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 07/09/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 05/10/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 14/11/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 63% | -0.24 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 31/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 20/06/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 26/07/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |