2
Tacit Value
3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 2 · OR 76
Laurel Park · Race 4 - Allowance · 5f 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-07-31 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2025-07-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-06-27 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 62/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 27/06/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 18/07/2025 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 31/07/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 14/02/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 29/03/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 10/05/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |