Likebelivingnmagic
5yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 70
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m
#7
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Penn National | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 08/05/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/05/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 31/05/2026 | 9th | 30/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/06/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 27/06/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 09/08/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 15/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |