5
New Plex
4yo Colt · 8-7 · Draw 5 · OR 83
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 8-8 · tight 90/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -11.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/01/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 11/02/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 20/02/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 20/03/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 08/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 22/07/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 40% | -0.36 |
| 13/09/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |