4
Strategist
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 4 · OR 74
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Delaware Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength84%
Delivery trend +8.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 38% | -0.20 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 21/07/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 13% | -0.48 |
| 07/08/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 14% | -0.57 |
| 13/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 18/09/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |