7
Top Blood
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · Draw 7 · OR 78
Laurel Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Laurel Park | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 13/02/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 03/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 17/04/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 31/05/2026 | 9th | 15/1 | 21% | 0% | -0.21 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 08/08/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 18/09/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |