Adios Marilyn

4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 14

Laurel Park · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y

#10

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▲ AHEAD OF MARK

Move▼1

Strength10%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.3

Today:

Class gap: +1.2

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-26	Laurel Park	?	7th	7th	0	3.0
2026-08-20	Penn National	?	5th	5th	0	5.0
2026-07-23	Colonial Downs	?	3rd	-1th	+4	5.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 11-13 · tight 72/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength22%

Delivery trend -15.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
23/07/2026	3rd	16/1	16%	60%	+0.44
20/08/2026	5th	20/1	0%	33%	+0.33
26/09/2026	7th	25/1	0%	14%	+0.14