5
Gotta Be Da Shoes
4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 5
Laurel Park · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 5f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Colonial Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 47/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength74%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2025 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 18/10/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 45% | -0.02 |
| 08/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 22/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 82% | +0.00 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 23/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |