6
Collection Day
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 6 · OR 90
Laurel Park · Race 7 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-09-17 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-06-24 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 68/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength76%
Delivery trend -2.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 88% | +0.19 |
| 13/05/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 24/06/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 43% | -0.44 |
| 17/09/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 23/09/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |