1
Kobe's Hope
4yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 81
Laurel Park · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲2
Strength4%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Colonial Downs | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2025-11-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2025-11-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-09-26 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2025-08-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 2-8 · tight 45/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▼
Strength44%
Delivery trend -4.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 22/06/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 13/08/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 27/08/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 26/09/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 05/10/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 01/11/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 15/11/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 30/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |