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4

Nothinglesswilldo

3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 4 · OR 83

Laurel Park · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

80%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Laurel Park 01/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 73 · 1m Fas 122 · beat its mark01/11/2025 · OR 73 par1/11C6OR 73C6 @ Laurel Park 09/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 74 · 1m 124 · beat its mark09/01/2026 · OR 74 parC9 @ Laurel Park 21/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 74 · 1m 124 · below its mark21/02/2026 · OR 74 par21/02C9OR 74C9 @ Laurel Park 03/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 79 · 1m 117 · beat its mark03/04/2026 · OR 79 parC5 @ Laurel Park 26/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 85 · 1m Gd 114 · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 85 par26/04C5OR 85C6 @ Laurel Park 10/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 76 · 1m110y Fas 124 · below its mark10/05/2026 · OR 76 parC8 @ Colonial Downs 09/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 82 · 1m110y Gd 118 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 82 par9/07C8OR 82C7 @ Colonial Downs 08/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 76 · 1m 120 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 76 parC5 @ Laurel Park 11/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 79 · 1m1f 119 · beat its mark11/09/2026 · OR 79 par11/09C5OR 79projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Laurel Park?3rd3rd0
2026-08-08Colonial Downs?1st3rd−2
2026-07-09Colonial Downs?1st4th−3
2026-05-10Laurel Park?6th7th−1
2026-04-26Laurel Park?5th5th0
2026-04-03Laurel Park?1st5th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/113/049/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 78/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.3% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/11/20253rd5/287%71%-0.15
09/01/20262nd4/179%86%+0.07
21/02/20263rd13/891%50%-0.41
03/04/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
26/04/20265th25/10%43%+0.43
10/05/20266th12/137%0%-0.37
09/07/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
08/08/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
11/09/20263rd4/179%67%-0.12