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5

Verdant Tones

3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 5 · OR 76

Laurel Park · Race 8 - Allowance · 1m 110y

#7

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲3
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: -2.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Laurel Park 29/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 1m110y 11829/05C9C9 @ Laurel Park 21/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 11921/06C9C6 @ Colonial Downs 05/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 71 · 1m Yie 119 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 71 par5/09C6OR 71projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Colonial Downs?1st2nd−1
2026-06-21Laurel Park?7th11th−4
2026-05-29Laurel Park?4th8th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0521/065/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-1 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +53.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/05/20264th6/168%25%-0.43
21/06/20267th33/10%33%+0.33
05/09/20261st12/137%100%+0.63