Almas Gone Gamblin

2yo Filly · 8-3 · Draw 3 · OR 82

Laurel Park · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKED

Move▼1

Strength45%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C4.5

Today:

Class gap: +1.0

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-11	Delaware Park	?	6th	5th	+1	5.2
2026-08-08	Delaware Park	?	4th	3rd	+1	7.2

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100

▬ RUNS TO FORM

Trend▼

Strength13%

Delivery trend -28.9% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
08/08/2026	4th	12/1	37%	50%	+0.13
11/09/2026	6th	16/1	16%	0%	-0.16