5
Befuddled
2yo Filly · 8-7 · Draw 5 · OR 64
Laurel Park · Race 9 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 3rd | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-07-31 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength24%
Delivery trend +24.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 13/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |