7
Ante Antman
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · Draw 7 · OR 78
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▼1
Strength70%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-07-21 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-06-09 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-05-25 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 40/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength62%
Delivery trend +1.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 25/10/2025 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 11/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 09/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 08/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 21/09/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |