
Fast Fall
6yo Horse · 8-12 · Draw 3 · OR 72
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Mountaineer | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-11-04 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2024-10-07 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-09-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/2024 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 06/05/2024 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 24/06/2024 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 08/09/2024 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 07/10/2024 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 04/11/2024 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 30/07/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 23/08/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 06/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |