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8

Move In Silence

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 8 · OR 61

Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Hawthorne 17/04/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 56 · 1m70y Fas 122 · below its mark17/04/2025 · OR 56 par17/04C8OR 56C8 @ Hawthorne 01/05/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 61 · 1m70y Fas 122 · below its mark01/05/2025 · OR 61 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 10/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 64 · 1m Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/06/2025 · OR 64 par10/06C6OR 64C8 @ Fairmount Park 15/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 62 · 1m110y 124 · below its mark15/07/2025 · OR 62 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 09/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 60 · 1m70y Fas 124 · below its mark09/08/2025 · OR 60 par9/08C8OR 60C8 @ Fairmount Park 07/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 56 · 1m110y Fas 124 · below its mark07/10/2025 · OR 56 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 16/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR 56 · 5f110y Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/05/2026 · OR 56 par16/05C6OR 56C8 @ Mountaineer 05/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 51 · 1m Fas 124 · beat its mark05/08/2026 · OR 51 parC8 @ Fairmount Park 15/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 57 · 1m 124 · beat its mark15/09/2026 · OR 57 par15/09C8OR 57projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Fairmount Park?1st1st0
2026-08-05Mountaineer?3rd3rd0
2026-05-16Fairmount Park?9th7th+2
2025-10-07Fairmount Park?6th6th0
2025-08-09Fairmount Park?6th6th0
2025-07-15Fairmount Park?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0415/0716/0515/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 40/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength62%

Delivery trend +3.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/04/20255th25/10%20%+0.20
01/05/20253rd10/147%50%+0.03
10/06/20252nd9/153%83%+0.31
15/07/20254th5/287%25%-0.62
09/08/20256th12/137%29%-0.08
07/10/20256th16/116%0%-0.16
16/05/20269th12/137%20%-0.17
05/08/20263rd16/116%75%+0.59
15/09/20261st9/153%100%+0.47