9

Spoonie

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 9 · OR 73

Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m

#10

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Oaklawn Park 04/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR 82 · 1m110y Slo 125 · beat its mark04/04/2025 · OR 82 par4/04C9OR 82C8 @ Churchill Downs 29/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 81 · 7f Fas 126 · below its mark29/04/2025 · OR 81 parC8 @ Churchill Downs 22/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 84 · 1m Fas 124 · below its mark22/05/2025 · OR 84 par22/05C8OR 84C8 @ Churchill Downs 22/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 83 · 1m110y Fas 124 · below its mark22/06/2025 · OR 83 parC8 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 15/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 84 · 1m70y 122 · below its mark15/07/2025 · OR 84 par15/07C8OR 84C8 @ Remington Park 12/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 77 · 1m Fm 124 · below its mark12/09/2025 · OR 77 parC8 @ Remington Park 04/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 80 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark04/10/2025 · OR 80 par4/10C8OR 80C8 @ Remington Park 21/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 78 · 1m70y Slo 124 · below its mark21/11/2025 · OR 78 parC8 @ Remington Park 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 74 · 6f Fas 121 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 74 par22/08C8OR 74projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Remington Park?6th6th0
2025-11-21Remington Park?5th5th0
2025-10-04Remington Park?5th5th0
2025-09-12Remington Park?5th5th0
2025-07-15Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th5th0
2025-06-22Churchill Downs?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0422/064/1022/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 10-10 · tight 90/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -6.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/04/20251st12/137%100%+0.63
29/04/20253rd4/179%78%-0.01
22/05/20257th12/137%33%-0.04
22/06/20254th7/163%63%-0.01
15/07/20255th5/287%33%-0.54
12/09/20255th8/158%50%-0.08
04/10/20255th11/271%43%-0.28
21/11/20255th12/137%43%+0.06
22/08/20266th5/174%44%-0.29