Westhampton
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 76
Mountaineer · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 5.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-08-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-07-26 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
| 2026-07-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-07-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 25/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 03/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 89% | +0.63 |
| 23/06/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 08/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 13/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 26/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |
| 07/09/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |