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6

Devil's Harvest

6yo Gelding · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 91

Mountaineer · Race 2 - Allowance · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: -1.1
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Charles Town 15/09/2024 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 98 · 7f Fas 120 · below its mark15/09/2024 · OR 98 par15/09C5OR 98C5 @ Keeneland 18/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 97 · 1m Gd 122 · beat its mark18/10/2024 · OR 97 parC7 @ Churchill Downs 16/11/2024 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 100 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark16/11/2024 · OR 100 par16/11C7OR 100C6 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 22/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 95 · 1m Gd 122 · below its mark22/10/2025 · OR 95 parC7 @ Fair Grounds 17/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 98 · 1m110y Fm 120 · below its mark17/01/2026 · OR 98 par17/01C7OR 98C5 @ Keeneland 12/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 100 · 1m Fm 118 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 100 parC7 @ Hawthorne 11/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 92 · 1m 123 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 92 par11/06C7OR 92C7 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 06/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 89 · 1m110y Fm 122 · below its mark06/07/2026 · OR 89 parC7 @ Colonial Downs 14/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 87 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark14/08/2026 · OR 87 par14/08C7OR 87projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Colonial Downs?9th11th−2
2026-07-06Horseshoe Indianapolis?2nd4th−2
2026-06-11Hawthorne?3rd5th−2
2026-04-12Keeneland?9th9th0
2026-01-17Fair Grounds?8th10th−2
2025-10-22Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th6th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0922/1011/0614/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 5-8 · tight 74/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength35%

Delivery trend -7.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/09/20242nd9/153%86%+0.33
18/10/20241st9/153%100%+0.47
16/11/202412th25/10%0%0.00
22/10/20255th14/126%50%+0.24
17/01/20268th16/116%22%+0.06
12/04/20269th33/10%0%0.00
11/06/20263rd8/158%33%-0.25
06/07/20262nd4/179%86%+0.07
14/08/20269th14/126%0%-0.26