Mazarn
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 10 · OR 57
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-12 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-30 | Thistledown | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 06/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 38% | -0.10 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 67% | -0.10 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 12/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 14/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |
| 23/09/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |