1
My Angel Does
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 1 · OR 60
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#11
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-24 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1438% of fieldRange 1-11 · tight 48/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength61%
Delivery trend -8.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 11/05/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 18/05/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 02/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 38% | -0.41 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 44% | +0.18 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 24/08/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 23/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |