6
Pivot To The Power
6yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 6 · OR 68
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-04-13 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-25 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 3-14 · tight 42/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -5.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 89% | +0.07 |
| 13/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 27/12/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 91% | +0.75 |
| 25/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 13/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 67% | -0.30 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 4/5 | 96% | 89% | -0.07 |
| 26/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 09/09/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |