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4

Slush Fund

3yo Filly · 8-8 · Draw 4 · OR 47

Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

9%

Place Prob

19%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼2
Strength87%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.1 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Mountaineer 07/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 5f Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS7/06C6C6 @ Mountaineer 23/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 43 · 5f110y Slo 115 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/06/2026 · OR 43 par23/06C6OR 43C6 @ Mountaineer 05/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 7f110y 115 · HIGHER CLASS5/07C6C5 @ Mountaineer 16/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 48 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 48 par16/07C5OR 48C6 @ Mountaineer 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 36 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 36 par27/08C6OR 36C6 @ Mountaineer 14/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 47 · 6f Slo 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/09/2026 · OR 47 par14/09C6OR 47projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Mountaineer?5th3rd+2
2026-08-27Mountaineer?4th2nd+2
2026-07-16Mountaineer?7th4th+3
2026-07-05Mountaineer?1st-1th+2
2026-06-23Mountaineer?3rd1st+2
2026-06-07Mountaineer?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0623/065/0716/0727/0814/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-12 · tight 40/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength59%

Delivery trend +18.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/06/20265th5/174%0%-0.74
23/06/20263rd3/184%67%-0.18
05/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
16/07/20267th12/137%0%-0.37
27/08/20264th25/10%40%+0.40
14/09/20265th25/10%33%+0.33