14
Temple City Taboo
4yo Filly · 8-12 · Draw 14 · OR 74
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | Colonial Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Colonial Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 64/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength89%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 06/11/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 44% | -0.29 |
| 28/11/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 13/12/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 10/01/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 28/01/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 18/02/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 22% | -0.04 |
| 23/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 06/08/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |