Vai Gattina
5yo Mare · 8-12 · Draw 2 · OR 51
Mountaineer · Race 3 - Claiming · 7f
#12
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Mountaineer | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2025-09-23 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
| 2025-09-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 12/08/2025 | 8th | 11/4 | 86% | 22% | -0.63 |
| 25/08/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 03/09/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 23/09/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/11/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 14/07/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 09/09/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |