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11

Data

2yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 5

ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix Marcel Boussac - Criterium Des Pouliches (fillies' Group 1) · 7f 209y

#5

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 1.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Saint-Cloud 12/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12212/0632 @ Clairefontaine 11/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 7f209y GS 11711/0721 @ Deauville 02/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1232/081C0 @ ParisLongchamp 06/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1256/09C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06ParisLongchamp?3rd3rd−0
2026-08-02Deauville11st2nd−0
2026-07-11Clairefontaine21st3rd−2
2026-06-12Saint-Cloud32nd5th−3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0611/072/086/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 47/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength56%

Delivery trend -5.4% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/06/20262nd5/287%89%+0.02
11/07/20261st8/1397%100%+0.03
02/08/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
06/09/20263rd11/1094%71%-0.23