4
Miss Miniver
2yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 11 · OR 98
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix Marcel Boussac - Criterium Des Pouliches (fillies' Group 1) · 7f 209y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
84%
Place Prob
58%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Newmarket | 1 | 4th | 4th | −0 |
| 2026-09-03 | Salisbury | 2 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kempton | 3 | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 77/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 91% | +0.05 |
| 03/09/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 25/09/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 63% | +0.07 |