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So Lovely

2yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 8

ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix Marcel Boussac - Criterium Des Pouliches (fillies' Group 1) · 7f 209y

#11

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARK
Move▲4
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.

Class-adjusted form 8.1 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -4.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 16/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m Goo 12816/07C82 @ Goodwood 30/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 7f Goo 12830/072C8 @ Leopardstown 20/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 7f Goo 12820/08C81 @ Curragh 29/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m Goo 12829/081projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Curragh16th7th−0
2026-08-20Leopardstown?1st10th−8
2026-07-30Goodwood22nd4th−2
2026-07-16Leopardstown?2nd11th−8

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0730/0720/0829/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 12-12 · tight 82/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -17.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/07/20262nd6/168%80%+0.12
30/07/20262nd4/797%92%-0.05
20/08/20261st2/598%100%+0.02
29/08/20266th11/893%44%-0.48