Tall Trees
2yo Filly · 8-11 · Draw 3 · OR 93
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Prix Marcel Boussac - Criterium Des Pouliches (fillies' Group 1) · 7f 209y
#6
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Doncaster | 1 | 6th | 6th | −0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Sandown | 2 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-23 | Sandown | 1 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-09 | Newmarket | 2 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 8th | 9th | −0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Newbury | 4 | 5th | 10th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -11.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 19/06/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 09/07/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 23/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 29/08/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |