9
Felix Aux Ormes
4yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 7
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Grand Handicap des Flyers Presente par RMC · 6f 211y
#9
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 2 | 13th | 14th | −1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-16 | Nantes | 2 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 2 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-16 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-24 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1647% of fieldRange 6-16 · tight 55/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength29%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.24 |
| 09/02/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 85% | +0.27 |
| 05/03/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 53% | -0.26 |
| 24/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 16/04/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 23/05/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 16/06/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 57% | -0.19 |
| 05/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 93% | +0.33 |
| 01/09/2026 | 13th | 15/2 | 61% | 14% | -0.46 |