2
La Mandala
5yo Filly · 9-4 · Draw 14
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Grand Handicap des Flyers Presente par RMC · 6f 211y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
40%
Place Prob
43%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Deauville | 1 | 8th | 8th | +0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Deauville | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | +0 |
| 2026-06-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-11-12 | Marseille | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-16 · tight 23/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength44%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/2025 | 12th | 11/2 | 71% | 21% | -0.50 |
| 19/10/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 01/11/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |
| 12/11/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 88% | +0.03 |
| 03/04/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 14/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 87% | +0.39 |
| 07/06/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 04/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 08/08/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 22% | -0.59 |