12
Marcus Aurelius
6yo Gelding · 8-9 · Draw 6
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Grand Handicap des Flyers Presente par RMC · 6f 211y
#14
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Cholet | 2 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-05 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-12-09 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 8th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 11-16 · tight 75/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 07/05/2025 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 04/08/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 09/12/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 15/03/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 05/04/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 23/05/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 07/06/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 57% | +0.02 |
| 30/06/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 17% | -0.71 |