7
Purple Lion
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 2
ParisLongchamp · Qatar Grand Handicap des Flyers Presente par RMC · 6f 211y
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | 2 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-04-05 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Saint-Cloud | 2 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-03 | Fontainebleau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-19 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 9-16 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength24%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 02/07/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 93% | +0.67 |
| 31/07/2025 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 19/08/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 30/09/2025 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 87% | -0.03 |
| 03/11/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 05/04/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 01/09/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 71% | -0.13 |